Investment Insights

Keep up to date with global markets and discover our latest thinking.

 

 

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14 January 2025

Alpha, an active approach and fundamental research – how we invest in credit

Want to know what differentiates us from our competitors when it comes to investment grade?
13 January 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Will the bond market vigilantes hit Equities?

Many analysts of my age are thinking back to the 1970s and 1980s when the US authorities lost control of both inflation and the budget deficit.
10 January 2025

Rosa Fenwick

Head of LDI Implementation

Q4 2024 repo update

With political risk/geopolitics to the fore we assess the impact on repo markets and activity.
6 January 2025

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Stagflation (UK), Stagnation (Europe) and Goldilocks (US) - What could possibly go wrong?

Stagflation in the UK, stagnation in Europe and goldilocks in the US. This week, we’ll look at what this means and ask where consensus might be wrong.
16 December 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Closing Bell 2024 : ‘Immaculate disinflation’ and the ‘Magnificent Seven’

US mega-cap tech stocks drove strong equity returns whereas bonds had a largely dull year. Is the stage set for continued US outperformance in 2025?
13 December 2024

Sally Springer

Senior Sustainable Research Analyst, Global Research

It’s a value trap! How research intensity can help reveal genuine recovery stocks

With intangible asset growth increasingly a driver of performance growth, a core research theme for us is ‘human capital’. It's just one way our Global Fundamental Research Group feeds into our investment process.
9 December 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Is the UK heading for recession?

There has been a major decline in optimism about UK economic prospects in recent months.
6 December 2024

UK equities: don’t believe the doom mongers

While Labour’s first Budget was a surprise in terms of the scale of the fiscal loosening, there remain grounds for cautious optimism about UK equities.
5 December 2024

Joanna Tano

Head of Research, Europe, Real Estate (EMEA)

2025 Global Real Estate Outlook: Is property at a turning point?

Global property prices have broadly stabilised. With interest rates heading lower, is real estate at a turning point?
2 December 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

The US under the new President: four good years or four bad?

It is no exaggeration to say that financial markets and governments across the world have greeted the clean sweep by Republicans in the US elections with some nervousness.
21 November 2024

2025 Macro Outlook: Slower growth amid geopolitical uncertainty, but opportunities remain

Headwinds are blowing but conditions are supportive, so we see both risks and opportunities in 2025.
19 November 2024

Melda Mergen

Global Head of Equities

2025 Equity Outlook: Will lower rates and strong earnings be enough to keep markets up?

Going into 2025, strong company fundamentals and trends in innovation could be outweighed by increased geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty.
18 November 2024

Christopher Mahon

Head of Dynamic Real Return, Multi-asset

Lifestyling: the Achilles heel in DC pensions

Why too much derisking – the accepted orthodoxy in UK defined contribution pensions – is a bad thing.
15 November 2024

Gene Tannuzzo

Global Head of Fixed Income

2025 Fixed Income Outlook: A year of opportunity amid economic uncertainty?

Soft landing supports bond performance – but will it last?
12 November 2024

Vicki Bakhshi

Director, Responsible Investment

COP29: Will it deliver on climate finance?

With mitigation and adaptation needs running into hundreds of billions of dollars, and public finances stretched, the private sector will need to deliver much of the necessary ‘climate finance’
11 November 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Will trade wars end the Equity Bull market?

Assessing the impact of Trump-era trade tariffs.
4 November 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Britain's big Budget - will it work?

The sheer scale of the fiscal changes in the recent budget were surprising, and confirmed growing fears around tax rises. But might UK businesses respond by boosting productivity?
28 October 2024

Steven Bell

Chief Economist, EMEA

Looking beyond the UK Budget

The new UK government’s first Budget looks set to be an historic event.
25 October 2024

Gary Smith

Client Portfolio Manager, Fixed Income

Economic nationalism will present a constant challenge for investors

A decade ago there was little sight of the seismic changes that have since occurred; similarly, events that might be impossible to imagine today will undoubtedly jolt financial markets in coming years.

Important Information

The analysis included on this website is for professional investors in EMEA APAC. This material should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, advice or an investment recommendation. This communication is valid at the date of publication and may be subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed are made as at the date of publication but are subject to change without notice and should not be seen as investment advice. Information obtained from external sources is believed to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed.